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Adrian Raftery : ウィキペディア英語版
Adrian Raftery

Adrian E. Raftery (born 1955 in Dublin, Ireland)〔 is an Irish and American statistician and sociologist. He is the Blumstein-Jordan Professor of Statistics and Sociology,〔(Faculty profile ), retrieved 2014-10-20.〕 and founding Director of the Center for Statistics and Social Sciences at the University of Washington in Seattle, Washington, USA.〔(Leadership and core faculty ), Ctr. for Stat. & Soc. Sci. Univ. of Washington, retrieved 2014-10-20.〕
Raftery studied mathematics and statistics at Trinity College Dublin, Ireland, and obtained his doctorate in mathematical statistics in 1980 from the Université Pierre et Marie Curie in Paris, France, advised by Paul Deheuvels. From 1980 to 1986 he was a lecturer in statistics at Trinity College Dublin, and since then he has been on the faculty of the University of Washington.〔(Curriculum vitae ), retrieved 2014-10-20.〕 He was elected a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 2003〔(Fellows of the AAAS ), retrieved 2014-10-20.〕 and a member of the United States National Academy of Sciences in 2009.〔(Member profile ), National Academy of Sciences, retrieved 2014-10-20.〕 He was identified as the world's most cited researcher in mathematics for the decade 1995-2005 by Thomson-ISI.〔(The most-cited researchers in Mathematics (1995-2005) )〕
As of 2009, Raftery has written or coauthored over 150 articles in scholarly journals. His research has focused on the development of new statistical methods, particularly for the social, environmental and health sciences. He has been a leader in developing methods for Bayesian model selection and Bayesian model averaging, and model-based clustering, as well as inference from computer simulation models. He has recently developed new methods for probabilistic weather forecasting and probabilistic population projections.
==Selected publications==

*Raftery, A. E. (2001). Statistics in Sociology, 1950—2000: A Selective Review. ''Sociological Methodology'', 31, 1-45.
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